UN Environment released its sixth and latest Global Environment Outlook (GEO-6) report at the beginning of March, and itās a grim read. For instance, here are a few main takeaways:
Details like these (and there are plenty more where they came from) seem to show that humans are right on track to destroying the planet and endangering our own lives. For Pierre Boileau, Head of the Global Environment Outlook program, however, the report is not without hope.
āWe do present a path forward,ā he says. āThere is a brighter future down those pathways, but they do require quite a substantial rethink of how we currently do our business, economies, development, all of that.
āYes, the story is bleak,ā he added, ābut the picture was bleak in GEO-5 and GEO-4. And now we have two-thirds of the report that talks about solutions rather than how bleak things are.ā
The reportās authors are hoping that their high-level audience is not only environment ministers but also other government decision-makers in areas of energy, agriculture and finance. āWe need integrated policies,ā says Boileau, āand ministries that work together on policies that address big systems and not just individual issues one by one. Otherwise we will never get to the objective of a sustainable world by 2050.ā
The GEOās focus on human health is a good example of that. In addition to addressing the high number of premature deaths caused by environmental pollution, the vast majority of them from fine particulate matter in the air, the report also warns that pollutants in freshwater systems will see anti-microbial resistance become a major cause of death by 2050. Endocrine disruptors from these pollutants will further impact male and female fertility as well as child neurodevelopment.
The report offers data on both gains and remaining problems. For example: despite a decline in the proportion of households using solid fuels indoors, 3 billion people worldwide still ādepend on burning fuels such as wood, coal, crop residue, dung and kerosene for cooking, heating and lighting,ā according to the report. And while 1.5 billion people have gained access to basic water services, an estimated 1.4 million people still die each year from preventable diseases associated with pathogen-polluted drinking water and inadequate sanitation.
The focus on health in the GEO-6 was something decided on by member states, says Boileau. āWe wanted to be able to make the link between the environmental impact weāre seeing and the ultimate impact on humans, and thereās a lot more research now on that link.ā
āThe hope is that by showing how closely linked the environment and human health are that it may have a policy effect in that health ministries might start taking more of an interest in the environment,ā says Paul Ekins, GEO-6 assessment co-chair. āAnd because we spend so much money on health, itās also possible that finance ministers will start taking more interest in the environment too.ā
The report also points out that those countries that do prioritize low-carbon, resource-efficient practices may well gain a competitive advantage in the global economy. āWell-designed environmental policies and appropriate technologies and products can often be implemented in tandem at limited or no cost to growth and competitiveness and can expand the capacity of countries to develop and diffuse innovative technologies,ā it states. āThat may be positive for employment and development, while reducing greenhouse gas emissions and, ultimately, facilitating sustainable development.ā
Reforestation, such as that called for by the Bonn Challenge, a global effort to bring 350 million hectares of deforested and degraded land into restoration by 2030, is one example of that. āReforestation is not only a strong mitigation tool, itās an absolutely essential one,ā says Ekins. āIf you can restore degraded land, you get multiple wins. Feed more people, or sequester more carbon, or reduce the pressure on highly biodiverse forests for agriculture ā and probably a combination of all three.ā
Says Boileau: āOur positive message is, if we manage to do this transformational change, there is a lot of opportunity in that transformational change.ā
He likens the current situation to that which faced the Canadian company RIM, producer of the Blackberry smartphone, when confronted some 10 years ago with the introduction of Appleās iPhone.
āYou saw a whole bunch of arguments saying āour business model is fine, nothing is going to happen, weāre still going to be the number-one seller of smartphones in the world,āā he says. āIām hoping that this report is an iPhone moment, where somebodyās going to say āno, itās really not fine. Weāve got to make a change.āā
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